The 2024 presidential election is still two years away, but the potential rematch between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden is already shaping up to be one of the most consequential elections in American history.
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A recent CNN poll found that a hypothetical 2024 matchup between Trump and Biden would be deadlocked among registered voters. The poll also found that 62% of those backing Trump said they saw their choice mainly as a show of support for him, while 64% of those backing Biden said they viewed their choice largely as a vote against Trump.
This suggests that a 2024 Trump-Biden rematch would be more of a referendum on Trump than on Biden. This is because Trump's supporters are more motivated by their dislike of Biden than by their enthusiasm for Trump, while Biden's supporters are more motivated by their desire to see Trump defeated.
Trump's approval ratings have remained relatively low since he left office, and he faces a number of legal challenges. This suggests that he would be an unpopular candidate in a 2024 rematch.
However, Trump is a very polarizing figure, and he could still win a rematch if he is able to motivate his base and turn out his voters. Ultimately, the outcome of a 2024 Trump-Biden rematch would depend on a number of factors, including the state of the economy, the political climate, and the candidates' campaigns.
Here are some other factors that could affect the outcome of a 2024 Trump-Biden rematch:
- The emergence of a third-party candidate: A third-party candidate could siphon votes away from both Trump and Biden, making it more difficult for either candidate to win.
- The state of the economy: The economy is always a major factor in presidential elections, and a strong economy could help Biden's chances of re-election.
- The political climate: The political climate in the United States is highly polarized, and this could make it difficult for either candidate to win.
- The candidates' campaigns: The candidates' campaigns will play a major role in the outcome of the election. The candidate who runs the better campaign is more likely to win.
It is still too early to say who would win a 2024 Trump-Biden rematch. However, the potential rematch is already generating a lot of interest and excitement, and it is sure to be one of the most closely watched elections in American history.
In addition to the factors mentioned above, there are a few other things to keep in mind about a potential 2024 Trump-Biden rematch.
First, both candidates would be older than they were in 2020. Trump would be 78 years old, and Biden would be 82 years old. This could be a major factor in the election, as voters may be hesitant to elect someone who is that old.
Second, the political landscape could be very different in 2024. The Republican Party is currently divided between Trump loyalists and those who are looking to move on from him. The Democratic Party is also facing some challenges, including the loss of control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections.
Finally, the outcome of the 2024 election could have a major impact on the future of the United States. If Trump is re-elected, it could embolden his supporters and lead to further polarization in the country. If Biden is re-elected, it could help to heal the divisions in the country and move it in a more progressive direction.
Only time will tell what will happen in 2024. However, the potential rematch between Trump and Biden is sure to be one of the most consequential elections in American history.
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